Last week was yet
another good one for purchase mortgage activity and refinancing, while
continuing to fade, was still at double its pace of a year ago. The Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA) said the upshot was a slight increase in its Market
Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume. It gained 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier and was 1
percent higher on an unadjusted basis.

The volume of
purchase applications gained 11 percent compared to the previous week
on both
an adjusted and an unadjusted basis. It was the fourth straight weekly increase
in the Purchase Index although it remains 10 percent below its level a year
earlier.

The
Refinance Index decreased 3 percent
from the previous week and was 201 percent
higher than the same week in 2019. The refinancing share of mortgage activity
decreased to 67.0 percent from 70.0 percent the previous week.

Refi Index vs 30yr Fixed

Purchase Index vs 30yr Fixed

“There continues
to be a stark recovery in purchase applications, as most large states saw
increases in activity last week. In the ten largest states in MBA’s survey, New
York – after a 9 percent gain two weeks ago – led the increases with a 14
percent jump. Illinois, Florida, Georgia, California and North Carolina also
had double-digit increases last week,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice
President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. “We expect this positive
purchase trend to continue
– at varying rates across the country – as states
gradually loosen social distancing measures, and some of the pent-up demand for
housing returns in what is typically the final weeks of the spring home buying
season.”

Added Kan,
“Mortgage rates stayed close to record-lows, but refinance applications
decreased for the fourth consecutive week, driven by a 5 percent drop in
conventional refinances. Despite the downward trend over the last month, mortgage
lenders remain busy. Refinance activity was up 200 percent from a year
ago.”

The
FHA share of total applications increased to 11.5 percent from 11.1 percent the
previous week and the VA share grew to 13.7 percent from 13.3 percent. The USDA
share ticked 0.1 point higher to 0.6 percent. The average loan size was $313,600
down from $315,400 and the size of a purchase loan rose from $326,800 to $332,300.

The average
contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages (FRM) with loan
balances at or below the conforming limit of $510,400 increased to 3.43 percent
from 3.40 percent, with points decreasing to 0.29 from  0.30. The effective rate increased.

The rate for
30-year FRM with loan balances exceeding the conforming limit was unchanged at
3.69 percent. Points dipped to 0.33 from 0.34, bringing the effective rate
lower.

Both the contract and
the effective rate for 30-year FRM backed by the FHA were unchanged, with the
contract rate at 3.37 percent. Points did increase to 0.21 from 0.20.

The average
contract interest rate for 15-year FRM decreased to 2.92 percent from 2.93
percent, with points decreasing to 0.28 from 0.29. The effective rate decreased
from last week.

The
5/1 adjustable rate mortgages
(ARMs) posted a 6-basis point increase in its
contract rate to 3.26 percent but a drop in points from 0.36 to 0.04 brought
the effective rate down. The ARM share of activity decreased to 2.9 percent of
total applications from 3.0 percent a week earlier.

MBA
also reported that, as of May 3 the total number of
loans in forbearance
had increased from 7.54 percent of servicers’
portfolio volume in the prior week to 7.91 percent. Nearly 4 million homeowners
have sought relief.

Mortgages backed by Ginnie Mae again had
the largest overall share of loans in forbearance by investor type, 10.96
percent up from 10.45 percent and the GSE share rose from 5.85 percent to 6.08
percent. The number of loans in forbearance for depository servicers rose to
8.75 percent and to 7.54 percent for independent mortgage bank (IMB) servicers.

Forbearance requests as a percent of
servicing portfolio volume (#) dropped across all investor types for the fourth
consecutive week: from 0.63 percent to 0.51 percent. Call volume, however, did
increase from 7.2 percent of the servicing portfolio to 8.6 percent.

Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s chief economist, said, “Although the pace of
forbearance requests slowed this week, call volume picked up – which could be a sign
that more borrowers are calling in to check their options now that May due
dates have arrived
.”

MBA’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey
been conducted since 1990 and covers over 75 percent of all U.S. retail
residential applications Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial
banks, and thrifts.  Base period and value for all indexes is March 16,
1990=100 and interest rate information is based on loans with an 80 percent
loan-to-value ratio and points that include the origination fee. The Forbearance
and Call Volume Survey covers the period from April 27 through May 3, 2020 and
represents almost 77 percent of the first-mortgage servicing market (38.3
million loans).

By Jann Swanson , dated 2020-05-13 08:23:27

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Courtesy of Mortgage News Daily