Last week’s jobs report created an opportunity to ride whatever sort of wave of positive momentum we may have seen in the present week.  After a noncommittal start yesterday, today’s session delivered.  An early short squeeze pushed 10yr yields more than 5bps lower and bonds didn’t lose much of that by the end of the day.  MBS reluctantly improved as well, despite significantly underperforming vs Treasuries. 

Market Movement Recap

08:51 AM

Big bond rally starting in the 6am hour on internet outages, but accelerating in the 8am hour on friendly Bank of Japan talk and a general short squeeze.  Big block trades contributed to the momentum.

12:28 PM

Treasuries have cooled off in a more sideways sort of way with 10yr yields hugging the 1.53% technical level.  MBS have underperformed a bit, with a more linear trend of weakness from the AM highs (off an eighth since 8:30am, but still up an eighth on the day).

02:40 PM

It looked like bonds were cooling off for the day and that there may have even been some risk of a negative reprice situation as far as MBS were concerned, but we got a friendly bounce after EU markets closed.  MBS are up more than an eighth in 2.0 coupons and 10yr yields are down 4.3bps at 1.526.


MBS Pricing Snapshot

Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.

MBS

UMBS 2.0

101-06 : +0-04

Treasuries

10 YR

1.5300 : -0.0400

Pricing as of 6/8/21 3:53PMEST

Today’s Reprice Alerts and Updates

8:49AM  :  Big Bond Rally To Start The Day. Why?


Economic Calendar

Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jun 08
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 58
Wednesday, Jun 09
7:00 MBA Purchase Index w/e 261.4
7:00 MBA Refi Index w/e 3022.0
10:00 Wholesale inventories mm (%) Apr 0.8 0.8
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl)* 38

By Matthew Graham , dated 2021-06-08 15:53:21

Source link

Courtesy of Mortgage News Daily

Leave a Reply